If a new report is to be believed, then fuel cell vehicles are set to take off in unprecedented style: surging from sales of around 1,000 in 2015 to passing two million annually by 2030.
The light duty fuel cell vehicle market is likely to face a number of supply constraints, according to forecasts from Navigant Research. However, a large investment from the industry and government will prompt carmakers to increase production levels and this will in turn prompt cost reductions that will help to make the vehicles more popular.
According to the report, Hyundai, with its ix35 fuel cell model (pictured), is still the clear leader of the market. Now it is expected however, that competition will surge in the Western European marketplace with Germany, the UK and several Nordic countries pushing forward with plans to implement hydrogen refuelling stations.
In Germany, the H2Mobility programme will deploy 50 public refuelling stations by 2015. Meanwhile, the UK government has signed a memorandum of understanding to aid the rollout of fuel cell vehicles from 2015-2030, with 65 stations required by 2015. There are also plans in South Korea and Japan to expand infrastructure there during 2015. Meanwhile, the Department of Energy is likely to shift its funding in the USA from fuel cell vehicles to electric vehicles.
In terms of fuel cell buses, they are generally in a pre-commercial phase. The first markets are expected to be in the USA, with California's Zero Emission Bus regulation helping to prompt development. In Europe, the European Union is also funding fuel cell bus deployments.
Finally, scooters are another market - and they rely on relatively low amounts of hydrogen because they only need hydrogen canisters instead of fuelling dispensers. This market is predicted to develop slowly during the next two- to three years and stay largely in a demonstration phase before picking up after 2015, particularly in Western Europe and the Asia Pacific region.
Nice article... found some interesting video and links showing what they are doing in California with fuel cell technology and municipal wastewater treatment plants producing 3 value streams of hydrogen, electricity and heat all from a human waste! Impressive...
"New fuel cell sewage gas station in Orange County, CA may be world's first"
"It is here today and it is deployable today," said Tom Mutchler of Air Products and Chemicals Inc., a sponsor and developer of the project.
2.8MW fuel cell using biogas now operating; Largest PPA of its kind in North America
Microsoft Backs Away From Grid
June 02, 2013